1. Receivers Tend To Fall: Other than the absolute top-flight guys, receivers tend to go a little bit later than most projections on draft day. Dez Bryant dropped quite a bit last year, and there wasn’t a receiver taken in the draft in which Donnie Avery was the first off the board in the second round to the Rams. I find it hard to believe that two guys at the position will go in the top 13 picks this year.

2. Defensive Lineman Depth: This draft is absolutely loaded with talented defensive linemen, and these players tend to be safer picks early in the first round than receivers. There’s plenty of talent out there, and I think teams will opt for a pass-rusher over a receiver.

3. AJ Green: Jones might have been the man at the Combine, but Green is the consensus top receiver in this draft. Unless something strange happens, Green will go before Jones in the draft. That means, if Green falls a bit to six or seven, that limits the teams available to take Jones. Going back to point 1, if Green falls a bit, that would be very good for the Rams.

4. No Free Agency: Because of the labor issues, teams can’t address needs through free agency, at least at this point. Receivers tend to have a steeper learning curve in the NFL then other positions, so teams could opt for players who can make an immediate impact. I think Jones is good enough to be a good player right away, but with the other talent available I think safer picks may go sooner.

5. Broken Foot: Jones is coming off an injury, and that might just be enough to get him to 14. Bryant had the same issue last season, and although he had some other issues that played into him falling, the injury obviously played a part. He won’t be doing much on-field work before the draft, and I think some of his luster from the combine might wear off before the end of April.

None of us really know what’s going to happen, and some of this might be wishful thinking on my part, but I still believe Jones will be there when we pick. At least, I really, really hope he will be.

Dez Bryant, Oklahoma State

Positives: Bryant is the consensus top receiver in this year’s class despite only playing in three games last season due to an NCAA suspension, but he had 17 catches for 323 yards and four scores in those outings. His size is excellent at 6-2, 225, and while he doesn’t have blazing speed, he moves very well for a big man. His hands are exceptional, and he catches almost any pass that is in the same zip code. He is an above-average down-field blocker, and he is surprisingly elusive after the catch for a man of his size. Bryant has the potential to become a true number one NFL receiver, and he is the class of this year’s receiving prospects.

Negatives: Bryant really played just two college seasons due to his suspension this past year, so it could take him some time to adjust to the NFL game. Teams don’t seem to be overly concerned about his character, but he does have a bit of a reputation for taking plays off, especially if he is not the top option on the play, but better competition and more maturity should make this a non-issue. Bryant probably won’t be an option for the Rams unless the team trades down in the first round, and even then it seems unlikely that the team would take a receiver with their top pick.

Demaryius Thomas, Georgia Tech

Positives: Thomas has all of the tools to be an excellent NFL wide out, and he is one of the more intriguing prospects this season. He is 6-3, 225, and his hands are the size of catcher’s mitts. He grabbed 46 passes for 1154 yards and eight scores in his final collegiate season, and he averaged an ACC record 25.1 yards per reception. He is a big play guy who has good speed and elusiveness in the open field, and he possesses excellent body control when the ball is in the air.

Negatives: Thomas’s route running is a major question mark heading into the draft, as he rarely ran NFL routes while at Georgia Tech. He broke his foot in February while training for the combine, and he is expected to be out of action for 4-to-6 weeks due to the injury. Some scouts question whether his big play numbers were a product of the predominantly ground-attack offense he played in at GT. Thomas could fall a bit due to these concerns, but he could be a first round talent that will be available in the second round.

Arrelious Benn, Illinois

Positives: Much like Thomas, Benn has an undeniable skill set that could very well translate into outstanding NFL success. Benn is a bit smaller than Thomas or Bryant at 6-1, 220, but he is plenty big to play at the next level. His hands are excellent, especially in jump ball situations, and he isn’t afraid to catch the ball in traffic. Put up nice numbers at Illinois despite inconsistent quarterback play throughout his career, and he started all three years at U of I. He possesses excellent route running ability, and he can get himself open with his ability to be quick out of the cut.

Negatives: Benn’s stock has fallen a bit since the combine, as he struggled with his footwork and with drops during the wide receiver drills. His production dropped significantly last season, and he struggled with injuries throughout his college career. Some people have also questioned his work ethic in practice, but he seemed to mature a bit during his final season. The struggles of his entire team last season hurt his stock a bit as well, but he has been regarded by most as a first round talent since he came to Illinois three years ago. Benn could be another steal if he falls out of the first round.

Taylor Price, Ohio

Positives: Price was one of the biggest surprises at this year’s combine, and he has helped his stock significantly with his workouts thus far. He isn’t huge at 6-1, 205, but his 4.41 speed is excellent for his size. His route running is more polished than originally thought, and he has the ability to make the exceptional catch when given the opportunity. He is a bit under-the-radar coming from Ohio, and the lack of name recognition could allow him to fall farther than he should.

Negatives: Price didn’t put up great numbers during his college career, but that could be due to Ohio’s lack of talent around him. He will need to improve his down-field blocking at the next level, as this is probably the weakest part of his game. He didn’t play much against elite talent, so there could be an adjustment period in the NFL. May not be the best fit for the Rams, but he has the potential to be an excellent play maker who could still be available in the third round.

There are question marks surrounding all of these players, but Bryant, Thomas, and Benn have the potential to be legit number one threats at the next level. Bryant is probably not a realistic option, but Thomas or Benn would be nice value picks if one or both falls to the second round. Price is a bit of a wild card, but he looks like a play maker, and if there’s one thing we need, it is more big play guys on offense. A few other guys to keep an eye on include Golden Tate (Notre Dame), Brandon LaFell (LSU), and Mardy Gilyard (Cincy).