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Latest Matthew Stafford trade rumor update proves reality of the situation

This just got very real, very quickly.
Bret Stuter
Bret Stuter

Ramblin' Fan

Jan 19, 2025; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (9). Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-Imagn Images / Eric Hartline-Imagn Images

If you just want the NFL rumors swirling around the Los Angeles Rams and veteran quarterback Matthew Stafford to go away, you are going to be uncomfortable and perhaps even miserable for a while longer. NFL Insiders roll with the punches each year, and the possible rift between the Rams and Stafford is this year's money-maker headline. But let's be fair. Sometimes the storylines are much ado about nothing for clicks. This story has some traction, as the most reputable NFL Insiders and analysts are jumping in to throw their two cents into the fray.

What's driving the impasse to both sides (re)negotiating a contract that is mutually acceptable to both sides? While there are many factors, we spelled out the matter in this deep-dive investigation over the matter. It's important to approach the situation without taking sides, as both Matthew Stafford and the Rams have logical reasons for taking their immutable positions. And much like a child facing divorcing parents. we can admire and respect both sides without declaring good or bad.

So what are the two differing perspectives? In a nutshell, Matthew Stafford wants fair market value compensation and recharging guaranteed dollars for both 2025 and 2026. The Rams want to compensate Stafford, but want to retain financial flexibility to ensure that the team has sufficient salary cap dollars to extend a growing number of young players who will soon require extensions of their own. Running back Kyren Williams is due for an extension soon, and he is just the first of many who will be seeking significant compensation after their rookie contracts expire.

And so, the two sides are far apart, with little signs of approaching common ground.

That is not to say that the stalled contract (re)negotiations have travelled beyond a point of no return. There is a deep desire in both sides to work towards finding common ground. But want is not often enough. Both sides, while desiring to win another Super Bowl together, view the needs of the next two seasons completely differently.

But if you wanted signs of some bridge between the two sides forming, that is not how events are playing out. In fact, if you fear a trade of veteran quarterback Matthew Stafford in 2025, the latest update reveals tangible steps taking place in that direction. Here's why:

Latest NFL rumors place new spin on a rapidly developing story

The last step that the Rams front office takes with any player contract dispute is to extend permission for that player's representation to explore trades with other NFL teams. There are multiple benefits for that approach. For openers, it settles the perception of grass being greener on the other side of the fence, as the player and agent have an opportunity to gauge what a true fair market value for the player's services might be.

If the agent feels that the team is low-balling his client, this afforded the opportunity to right-size any offer to a realistic fair market price. But it also creates a market for the player in a situation where neither side can reach common ground. The Rams took this approach with WR Desean Jackson, RB Cam Akers, and even WR Van Jefferson, to name a few examples. Unfortunately, all three examples resulted in the team parting ways with the player. One by outright release, two others by trade.

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So why do I believe that the Rams and Matthew Stafford have come to this final drastic step? On the Rich Eisen podcast, NFL Insider Tom Pelissero had a lot to share about Matthew Stafford's status:

But his biggest jaw-dropping revelation to the current situation came at the moment that he revealed that the Rams had given permission to Stafford's agent, Jimmy Sexton, to explore other teams interest in Stafford, and how they might be willing to compensate Stafford after successfully trading for the veteran:

"If you are trading for the guy, and it is going to be a significant pick, let()s just say you know it is going to be a second-round pick ... you are going to want to know, - am I getting this guy for one year, for two years, for three years? - and that is why the Rams have been willing to let Stafford()s agent, Jimmy Sexton, who is very experienced in these matters, to go out and just figure out what would other teams be willing to do"
NFL Insider Tom Pelissero

That changes the tone of the Rams off-season in several ways. How so? The very fact that the Rams were willing to extend that permission is a clear sign that the team is willing to move on from the veteran quarterback. If you are dating someone that you are head-over-heels in love with, you don't permit that person to date other people. If that happens, the relationship is already winding down.

Why a Rams trade scenario just won't go away

NFL rumors that place LA Rams starting quarterback on the trade block may have been a bit premature initially, but as more and more information bubbles up to the surface, the likelihood of that scenario taking place continues to inch closer and closer. How can that be?

The team's front office is quite confident in the data analytics department and it's ability to forecast player production. With that confidence comes the ability to have similar confidence in setting a fair market value for contracts under (re)negotiation. The latest spin adds clarity to the contentious nature of the Rams and Stafford's current situation. If both sides were at the same point of assessing Stafford's future worth, there would be no reason to survey Stafford's value with other NFL teams.

But part of that discussion, at least from the Rams' perspective, is what it will take to pry Stafford from the Rams roster. Some had speculated that the Rams base price right now is a Round 1 pick. NFL Insider Tom Pellissero speculates that a Round 2 pick could get the job done. It was only one week ago that some speculated that the Rams could ask for the third overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft from the New York Giants to part ways with Stafford.


But that was quickly shot down by NFL Insider Adam Schefter, who emphatically clarified that the Giants would never surrender the third-overall pick for Matthew Stafford:

But the Giants hold the 34th overall pick in Round 2 of the 2025, a pick that is close enough to Round 1 value to hold plenty of intrigue to the Rams front office. And if the Giants were willing to sweeten an offer with a Round 5 and Round 7 picks, filling in the gaps to the Rams draft picks' quiver, I cannot see how GM Les Snead does not take that call.

Stafford trade talk will not go away for two simple reasons: He is at a contract impasse with the LA Rams. And his salary cost to any new NFL team is up for negotiation. With only a minor roster bonus due, any acquiring team has almost universal severability in Stafford's contract, a feature that Stafford is adamant about eliminating.

Until Stafford signs on the dotted line, NFL rumors surrounding him will continue to blow. Ultimately, this will all come to a head as the 2025 NFL Draft approaches. Once the draft has passed, the two sides will be stuck in a standoff that could see Matthew Stafford sitting out the 2025 NFL season.

Nobody wants that.

As always, thanks for reading.

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Bret Stuter

Bret Stuter

Bret Stuter is the site expert for Ramblin Fan who has covered the Los Angeles Rams for 5 years. Swept up into loving professional sports from a family that listened to games on the radio, he is at home cheering for HC Sean McVay and the Rams. Articles have been featured on B/R, Fox Sports, CBS Sports, Sporting News, and Washington Post. Bret loves to fish, and watch games at sports bars over pizza.